You can analyze how quantization noise affects QLoRA-tuned model performance by measuring output divergence and loss shifts between full-precision and quantized models on the same inputs.
Here is the code snippet you can refer to:

In the above code we are using the following key strategies:
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Uses cosine similarity between logits to quantify quantization noise.
 
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Evaluates across a sample validation set for realistic estimation.
 
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Compares full-precision vs quantized model behavior under same inputs.
 
Hence, quantization noise in QLoRA affects performance by slightly altering prediction distributions, measurable via similarity metrics between original and quantized outputs.